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Adaptive deep nonparametric regression from dependent data under covariate shift

Source

arXiv

arxiv.org/abs/2607.20309v1

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Plain-Language Brief

The paper discusses a deep neural network approach for nonparametric quantile and Huber regression under covariate shift, where source and target observations come from different distributions. The authors propose a sparse-penalized deep neural network (SPDNN) estimator to account for this discrepancy, along with a two-step pre-training procedure when the density ratio is unknown. The paper provides non-asymptotic error bounds for both quantile and Huber regression in the class of Hölder smooth functions.

What the Document Says

  • Covariate shift is discussed, where observations from source and target distributions differ.
  • Deep neural network estimators are proposed for nonparametric quantile and Huber regression under covariate shift and dependent observations.
  • A sparse-penalized deep neural network (SPDNN) estimator is introduced to account for the discrepancy between source and target distributions.
  • When density ratio is unknown, a two-step pre-training procedure is carried out: first constructing least squares SPDNN estimator of density ratio, followed by pre-training reweighted SPDNN estimator of regression function.
  • Non-asymptotic error bounds for proposed SPDNN estimators are established in the class of Hölder smooth functions.

Key Concepts Mentioned

  • covariate shift
  • deep neural network
  • nonparametric quantile and Huber regression
  • sparse-penalized deep neural network (SPDNN)
  • density ratio
  • pre-training procedure
  • Hölder smooth functions

Claims Made by the Document

  • The proposed SPDNN estimators can adaptively attain minimax optimal convergence rate from i.i.d. data and several classical time series models.

Evidence Used

  • Non-asymptotic error bounds of the proposed SPDNN estimators are established in the class of Hölder smooth functions.

Methods / Approach

  • Deep neural network estimation
  • SPDNN estimation
  • pre-training procedure

Limitations Stated by the Authors

  • The paper does not specify which classical time series models were considered for the adaptive convergence rate claims.

Limitations Noted by the Agent

Agent interpretation — not from the source.

  • The paper assumes Hölder smooth functions, which may not represent all types of real-world data.
  • The performance of the proposed methods is not empirically validated in the paper.

Open Questions

  • What is the practical implementation and performance of the proposed SPDNN estimators on a wide range of datasets?

Notes for Future Q&A

May include interpretation. Labeled where it does.

  • The paper discusses theoretical results and does not provide practical implementation details or empirical evaluations.

Raw Abstract / Excerpt

Covariate shift often occurs because, in many real applications, the source and the target observations may be generated from different distributions. In this case, the standard metric under the source distribution is not appropriate. This paper considers deep neural network estimators for nonparametric quantile and Huber regression under covariate shift and from dependent observations. We deal with a generalized Bernstein-type inequality that is satisfied by many classical models, including i.i.d. observations, $φ$-mixing, strong mixing, and $\mathcal{C}$-mixing processes. To perform the covariate shift phenomenon, we propose a sparse-penalized deep neural network (SPDNN) estimator that takes into account the discrepancy between the source and target distributions of the data. When the density ratio (between the source and target distributions of the covariate) is unknown, a two steps pre-training procedure is carried out: the first step is devoted to the construction of a least squares SPDNN estimator of the density ratio; which is used in the second step to perform a pre-training reweighted SPDNN estimator of the regression function. For both the quantile and the Huber regression, non-asymptotic error bounds of the proposed SPDNN estimators are established in the class of Hölder smooth functions. These estimators can adaptively attain (up to a logarithmic factor) the minimax optimal convergence rate from i.i.d. data as well as from several classical time series models.